Virginia-based Aurora Flight Sciences is now poised to transition
an all-electric version of the XV-24A Lightning Strike to the commercial air
taxi market.
The US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
(DARPA) has agreed to allow the newly-acquired Boeing subsidiary to transition
government-funded technology - such as an electric-powered distributed
propulsion system – for commercial applications, Aurora announced on 24 April.
The announcement comes a week after Aurora founder
and chief executive John Langford acknowledged the company was moving away from
the lift-and-cruise-configured prototype demonstrated in flight tests last
year.
“What we are doing is somewhat related to those
things but not exactly identical,” Langford said on 17 April, addressing a
luncheon of the National Aeronautics Association in Washington DC.
For several years, Aurora has invested heavily in
autonomy, electric propulsion and vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) aircraft
designs, which are three technologies that form the heart of a global race to
develop a new class of electric air taxis.
If the economic, technological and regulatory
barriers can be overcome, the market opportunity is vast. A recent Goldman
Sachs market forecast cited by Langford included an optimistic scenario with
demand for air taxis worldwide amounting to $70 billion annually by 2035,
requiring overall production capacity of 50,000 new aircraft a year.
“You have to go back to World War II to see
[aircraft] production numbers like this,” Langford says.
To prepare for the market, Aurora has pursued two
different options. Last year, the company unveiled a prototype air taxi in a
lift-and-cruise configuration, meaning upward-facing rotors used for vertical
flight and fixed propellers facing forward for cruise flight.
Separately, Aurora also completed testing of a
subscale prototype of the tilt-wing XV-24A. DARPA’s schedule calls for
beginning flight tests of the full scale, hybrid-electric XV-24A next year,
according to budget documents. The 4,540kg (10,000lb) XV-24A is far too large
to operate as an air taxi, but the 136kg subscale prototype offers a more
representative platform.
Aurora plans to deliver a “minimum viable product”
by 2020 for a large-scale demonstration, involving multiple vehicles and
controlled centrally by a command centre. If the technology proves feasible,
Aurora could deliver a viable, piloted air taxi by 2023, but autonomous
functions would come later as they are approved by regulators, Langford says.
Although that ideal progression may not go exactly
as planned, Aurora’s staff feels prepared financially for the long-haul with
Boeing’s support.
“This is not a market that a Silicon Valley startup
is going to be se able to see through in my humble opinion,” Langford says.
“That is partly why we threw in with Boeing.”
(Evangle Luo of TTFLY shared with you)
没有评论:
发表评论